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... The Hour of Code
=twitter The Hour of Code
..-Additives Show some enthusiasm!
Today 1st announced the prelim schedule for the 2014 competition. Two new districts were created NW (Wash & Ore - ~100 teams) and NE (RI, Conn, NH, Me, Vt, & Mass ~150 teams). Can Florida be a district in 15 or 16? Hell yes! I suggest the resistance plan for the transition by competing in two regionals and the championship. District teams must compete in 2 or 3 districts with 24 to 40 teams, a district championship, and possibly the 1st championship. It is all based on points amassed during the season. You could not win a district and still go to the 1st championships. It will be nearly impossible to go the the St Louis competition as a free agent team. Only about 30 went in 2013 out of ~400 teams. We must dedicate ourselves to upping our build to getting a unit that operates at the 90%ile level. Our typical 80%ile unit will not get us to St Louis unless we get a lucky break. Our talent is good enough to win 4 Orlando titles and to be in the running numerous other times. So we can do it "water boy". Let's build the best and meanest bot to kick butt with stretch goals and innovativeness.
Data/Stats to support a 90%ile robot
8.33% Regional robots get Championship invite (6 of 72 for Orlando; includes Rookie Allstar) 91.67% stayed home
13.33% Attend the Championships (~400 of 3,000 teams) - 86.67% stayed home
3.20% Divisional Playoffs (96 of 400 x 13.33%)
0.40% Championship Rounds (12 of 96 x 3.2%)
For the curious team members, only 35 teams of 2506 went to St Louis by open registration. The majority of the teams at the event were elite robots in the top 15% of ranks. Note that there are 225 (75x3)
district and regional winners. However, there were so many multiple regional and award winners that 81 alternates are among the invitees. Team Resistance is close to being a top 15% unit. Let's set a goal to be more improved next season. The route to attending the World Championship in St Louis or any future venue is basically limited by the new rules to earning one of 365 reserved spot as follows:
Regional Chairman's Award
Engineering Inspiration Award
By Rank from District CMP
Hall of Fame
Last Year's Winners
Over the years, students sometimes wonder how a scoring or design goal for a robot comes about on a given year. This year a 50 point scoring goal was set for Ohmer becasue the preliminary analysis showed an 150 point alliance to be probable. We were at best ~30 point unit most games which was good for an ~82%ile OPR this year. Let's set our sights higher next year for a 90%ile robot and a regional banner. See Ether's data/ graphs on extended news. There is data as follows for team scoring:
Sort Buckets for 12,806 Alliance Scores for 2013
a. 0-25 Points ~22% or 2,817 alliances
b. 25-50 Points ~30% or 3,842 alliances
c. 50-100 Points ~37% or 4,738 alliances
d. 100-150 Points ~8% or 1,024 alliances
e >150 Points ~3% or 384 alliances
I will be holding a shop session this Sunday (May 5th - Cinco de Mayo) at Chaos Central. There are a lot of projects that need to happen - some destructo of arena parts from various years, some welding/fab jobs, straightening up and putting away, some opportunity for the Programmos to work on Camera stuff, maybe some robot driving. There is also some important end-o-year paperwork that I need a couple of Hens to assist with.
I will provide Union Break for our festivities. I'd certainly like to have the Senior members present.
Please send me an email with RSVP and text, BM or Toot your pals to let them know what's up! TL CG
Just a quick note to let everyone know I'm still alive and living at (in) Chaos Central.
Things have been incredibly busy and eventful around here since the FT Lauderdale Trip - we're trying to get back to normal after a really riveting 2013 Competition Season.
On the trip back from Ft Lauderdale Saint Lisa's Land Rover coughed up its power steering pump and we had to have it towed to Jacksonville from Palm Coast.....the following Saturday was spent installing a new pump on the Rover....and then Frank the Programmo and I re-powered and re-programmed the 2010 Soccer (roll-over robot) for a trip to One Spark the following weekend..... while I took my mom to her 60th college class reunion at Wesleyan College (Macon GA) last weekend...... Yesterday Warren Miller of WJCT's Closing the Loop Program interviewed me in the Chaos Central shop for a little thing he's going to air on Friday 2 weeks from now. You see what I mean?
This weekend my Bro and I are taking our sons to camp out at Anastasia Park in St Augustine. I'm not going to do anything but sit, read a book, talk on my portable ham radio....... and eat.
OK, so I'm still alive. I'm looking forward to getting together in the next week or so (Sunday May 5th) to do some shop clean-up and maybe run the 2010 robot in the street and do some driver tryouts - thinking ahead for next year already...... maybe play Robot Frisbee in the street to drive the neighbors crazy. And more Union Break than Work....for once.
Watch the website.....
For the mathmatically curious, where would Team resistance fit on the 400 teams game board.
1. Gallileo an OPR of 27.4 is #61- 1114 at #1 is 103.9 pts
2. Curie would have us at #68 - 2056 is #1 at 98.7 pts
3. Archimedes would have us at #64 - 469 is #1 at 92.0 pts
4. Newton would have us at # 57 - 1986 is #1 at 80.9 pts
Note that team 180 (SPAM) at 60.6 pts is #6 in Newton's ranks and #66 in world rank
After world championship, Team 86 is ranked in the upper levels of the 2509 robots that have played in the over the 10 week season
The Contribution to Win Margin (CCWM)
240/2509 or 90.4%ile at 17.4 a 46.5% improvement over Orlando's 12.7 points
The Offensive Power Rating (OPR)
489/2509 or~81.8%ile at 26.8 a 24% improvement over Orlando's 21.7 points
From this data it is easy to see that our scoring problems is our weakness. Our new stratergy got us to the 80.5%ile level but there were some problems with the field mysterously losing robot communications. I think attending two regionals is a valid tool for improving the robot's functionality. I recommend doing two regionals every year whether we go to St Louis or not. There is a statistical correlation between regionals attended and OPR as follows:
5 Regionals - 45.7 pts 1 team or 0.04%
4 Regionals - 46.0 pts 31 teams or 1.24%
3 Regionals - 51.9 pts 147 teams or 5.86%
2 Regionals - 42.9 pts 797 teams or 31.78%
1 Regional - 29.5 pts 1533 teams or 61.08%
For an understanding of the the diference between us versus the top robots, look at what the tops teams were doing as follows:
Top 25 - 68.8 pts or 2.43X our 27.4
Top 50 - 60.6 pts or 2.21X our 27.4
Top 100 - 52.4 pts or 1.97X our 27.4
To sum it up our latest result (26.8) is above the median by 1.94X (13.8pts) but still about 50% below the results (52.4) for the top 100 robots.
Last chance to order T-Shirts
We have a small window in which to order t-shirts for the 1/3 of the team that didn't bother last time.
Don't miss out. Click the link. Do it NOW.